Universal Music Group N.V. UMG.AS
Composite 40/100; the shares have moved about 50% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Momentum ranks 13/100 — a strong mark against it.
Income ranks 85/100 — a strong point in its favour. Quality ranks 60/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Momentum ranks 13/100 — a strong mark against it. Balance-sheet strength ranks 30/100 — a moderate mark against it. Growth ranks 35/100 — a moderate mark against it.
What the company does Universal Music Group (UMG.AS) is a global music company with three segments: Recorded Music (artist discovery, licensing, distribution), Music Publishing (songwriter copyrights), and Merchandising & Other (artist-branded products and brand rights). It operates across platforms including streaming, live events, film, and television.
Key financials UMG reports strong profitability with ROE 33.8%, ROA 7.7%, and ROCE 52.1%. Gross margin is 42.5% and net margin 12.3%. Revenue grew 5.0%, but EPS fell -91.4% due to one-time items. Valuation metrics include P/E 23.49 (forward 17.36), EV/EBITDA 14.26, and P/B 7.65.
Stock health Momentum is mixed: +12.68% over 3 months but -15.76% over 12 months, with a -20.39% drawdown from the 52-week high. RSI(14) is 66.50 (neutral to overbought). The Piotroski F-Score is 7/9 and Altman Z is 1.44, indicating moderate financial health.
Price vs fair value Universal Music Group’s stock trades at a PREMIUM of 22.70% versus our fair-value estimate of 15.31 and at a discount of 26.51% versus the analyst 12-month target of 25.06. - Shares fell 25% after subscription growth and streaming revenue slowed (The Wall Street Journal) - Record low hit after subscription miss (Investing.com) - Analysts highlight slowing growth headwinds (analyst count 21.0) - Valuation percentile 43.2/100 signals rich pricing vs peers (Sideravia)
Looking forward Forward P/E of 17.36 and PEG of 0.49 suggest potential value if growth stabilizes. Dividend yield is 2.7% with a 62.6% payout ratio. Recovery hinges on subscription and live-event momentum, which recent reports suggest may be slowing.
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Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.