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Trex Company, Inc. TREX

Price 43.7 USD
as of 2026-09-04
43/100
Constructive
Quality47
Growth29
Balance-sheet strength46
Valuation45
Momentum41
Income50

Composite 43/100; the shares have moved about 43% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.

Strongest counter-signal

Growth ranks 29/100 — a moderate mark against it.

Case for

Its least weak area is Income at 50.

Case against

Growth ranks 29/100 — a moderate mark against it. Momentum ranks 41/100 — a slight mark against it. Valuation ranks 45/100 — a slight mark against it.

What the company does Trex designs, makes and licenses wood-alternative decking, railing and fencing products sold primarily in the U.S. Its Trex Transcend and Signature lines target fade- and stain-resistant outdoor living applications, while accessories include lighting, drainage and joist protection systems.

Key financials Trailing twelve-month margins: gross 39.2%, operating 24.3%, net 16.2%. ROE 20.1%, ROA 9.6%, ROCE 22.3%. Revenue grew 1.0% and EPS grew 3.6% year-over-year. Debt/equity is 0.44 and net debt/EBITDA is 1.32.

Stock health Sideravia overall score 53.3/100 (Strong quality, richly valued). Quality pillar 70.2, Growth 40.8, Valuation 41.4. Piotroski F-Score 6/9, Altman Z 6.37. RSI(14) 47.70, 35.29% below 52-week high.

Price vs fair value TREX trades at a PREMIUM of 38.80% to our fair-value estimate and at a discount of 20.52% to the 18-analyst 12-month target. - Fair-value gap persists despite Simply Wall St noting a “fair value lift” after guidance and target increases (Simply Wall St 2026-07-30). - Zacks expects Q2 earnings to decline, pressuring near-term sentiment (Zacks 2026-07-28). - StockStory flags “impressive fundamentals” yet turns down, highlighting valuation headwinds (StockStory 2026-07-27).

Looking forward Forward P/E 24.51 implies elevated expectations; growth pillar score 40.8 suggests execution risk. Analysts’ 52.94 target implies 20.52% upside, offset by the 38.80% premium to our 26.89 fair value.

sideravia.comEvery stock argues both sides.
Research, not advice · sideravia.com/conflicts — read the policy

This is not investment advice. Sideravia provides automated, data-driven analysis for information and education only. Nothing on this page is a personal recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell any security, and it does not consider your objectives or financial situation. Assessments are generated by rules applied uniformly to every covered stock — how our scores work.

Data as of 2026-09-04, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.