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Shopify Inc. SHOP

Price 145.9 USD
as of 2026-09-05
52/100
Mixed
Quality45
Growth55
Balance-sheet strength95
Valuation13
Momentum57
Income50

Composite 52/100; the shares have moved about 62% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.

Strongest counter-signal

Valuation ranks 13/100 — a strong mark against it.

Case for

Balance-sheet strength ranks 95/100 — a strong point in its favour. Momentum ranks 57/100 — a slight point in its favour. Growth ranks 55/100 — a slight point in its favour.

Case against

Valuation ranks 13/100 — a strong mark against it. Quality ranks 45/100 — a slight mark against it.

What the company does Shopify provides a unified commerce platform enabling merchants to manage sales across web, mobile, social, physical retail, and marketplaces. Its integrated stack includes Shopify Payments, POS hardware, apps, themes, and financing.

Key financials Revenue grew 34% y/y while EPS fell -42% y/y. Margins: gross 48%, operating 16%, net 11%. ROE 11%, ROA 10%, ROCE 4%. Debt/equity 0.01; net cash of 2.6x EBITDA. Valuation multiples are elevated: P/E 120x, fwd P/E 68x, EV/EBITDA 76x.

Stock health Sideravia scores Shopify in the 47th percentile overall: average quality, rich valuation, weak momentum. Strength is high (99th), but valuation is bottom 10th percentile. RSI(14) 52; down -33% from 52-week high.

Price vs fair value Shopify trades at a PREMIUM of 78.10% to our fair-value estimate and a discount of 21.30% to the analyst 12-month target. - Analysts cite potential upside to $148.47 on commerce tailwinds (Motley Fool, 2026-07-31) - Simply Wall St warns SHOP may be 28% overvalued after fulfillment demand news (Simply Wall St, 2026-07-31) - Sideravia valuation percentile at 9.6/100 signals extreme richness (Sideravia, 2026-07-31)

Looking forward Forward PEG of 0.91 suggests growth is priced at a premium but not extreme. Consensus expects fwd P/E to compress to 68x from 120x, implying improving earnings trajectory. Momentum remains weak (30th percentile), so execution on merchant retention and new services will be key.

sideravia.comEvery stock argues both sides.
Research, not advice · sideravia.com/conflicts — read the policy

This is not investment advice. Sideravia provides automated, data-driven analysis for information and education only. Nothing on this page is a personal recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell any security, and it does not consider your objectives or financial situation. Assessments are generated by rules applied uniformly to every covered stock — how our scores work.

Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.