Onto Innovation Inc. ONTO
Composite 50/100; the shares have moved about 84% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Valuation ranks 20/100 — a strong mark against it.
Balance-sheet strength ranks 85/100 — a strong point in its favour. Momentum ranks 62/100 — a moderate point in its favour.
Valuation ranks 20/100 — a strong mark against it. Growth ranks 36/100 — a moderate mark against it. Quality ranks 46/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) designs and manufactures process control tools for semiconductor manufacturing, including macro-defect inspection, metrology, lithography systems, and yield management software. Its products serve key markets like Taiwan, South Korea, and China, supporting advanced packaging and thin-film measurements.
Key financials ONTO’s profitability metrics are mixed: ROE 5%, ROA 5%, and net margin 10%. Revenue grew 10% YoY, but EPS fell -49%. Gross margin stands at 54%, while operating and net margins are 17% and 10%, respectively. Forward P/E is 38 vs. trailing P/E of 127, with a PEG of 0.16.
Stock health Momentum is volatile: -11% over 3 months, +23% over 6 months, and +156% over 12 months. The stock is -32% below its 52-week high, with RSI(14) at 45, indicating neutral momentum. Strength score is 97, but quality (41) and growth (24) lag.
Price vs fair value ONTO trades at a PREMIUM of 63% vs. our fair-value estimate of 97.45 and a discount of 41% vs. the 12-month target of 370. - Recent Zacks headline highlights a stock pullback amid a broader market uptick (Zacks, 2026-07-28). - Analysts cite strong advanced packaging growth tailwinds (Zacks, 2026-07-30). - Peer earnings beats (e.g., AXTI) may be pressuring relative valuation (Zacks, 2026-07-31).
Looking forward Forward earnings estimates imply a sharp P/E compression (38x vs. 127x trailing), suggesting expectations for margin recovery. High EV/EBITDA (65x) and rich multiples reflect premium pricing for growth in advanced packaging. Execution on lithography and metrology integration will be key to justifying current levels.
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Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.