Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. OLLI
Composite 54/100; the shares have moved about 46% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Momentum ranks 16/100 — a strong mark against it.
Growth ranks 77/100 — a strong point in its favour. Balance-sheet strength ranks 71/100 — a moderate point in its favour. Quality ranks 56/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Momentum ranks 16/100 — a strong mark against it. Valuation ranks 47/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) operates as a closeout retailer in the U.S., selling closeout and excess inventory merchandise across categories such as health and beauty, food, pet supplies, home goods, outdoor items, and general merchandise under multiple private-label brands.
Key financials OLLI reports strong profitability metrics: ROE 13.8%, ROA 6.8%, and ROCE 13.0%. Gross, operating, and net margins stand at 40.7%, 10.6%, and 9.1%, respectively. Revenue and EPS growth are 14.2% and 19.5%, with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Altman Z-score of 4.46, indicating solid financial health.
Stock health The stock shows weak momentum: -15.18% over 3 months, -31.59% over 6 months, and -47.02% over 12 months, trading -48.23% below its 52-week high. Sideravia scores highlight average quality (55.8) with weak momentum (21.1) despite strong growth (70.0) and strength (74.2).
Price vs fair value OLLI trades at a discount to both our fair-value estimate and analyst target. - Price is trading at a discount of 7.80% versus our fair-value estimate of 79.07 (Sideravia). - Price is trading at a discount of 45.91% versus the 12-month target of 107.07 (analyst count 15.0). - Recent underperformance linked to Q2 headwinds cited by Insider Monkey (2026-07-27).
Looking forward Forward P/E of 15.11 and EV/EBITDA of 11.36 suggest reasonable valuation relative to earnings. Growth outlook remains positive, with revenue and EPS growth of 14.2% and 19.5%, but momentum remains a concern. Analysts see significant upside potential, though current sentiment reflects recent operational challenges.
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Data as of 2026-09-04, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.