Murphy USA Inc. MUSA
Composite 53/100; the shares have moved about 45% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Growth ranks 35/100 — a moderate mark against it.
Momentum ranks 66/100 — a moderate point in its favour. Quality ranks 58/100 — a slight point in its favour. Valuation ranks 58/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Growth ranks 35/100 — a moderate mark against it. Income ranks 39/100 — a slight mark against it. Balance-sheet strength ranks 49/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) operates retail motor fuel and convenience stores under brands like Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek across the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest U.S. Its model blends fuel sales with high-margin convenience merchandise in non-fuel locations.
Key financials MUSA shows strong profitability metrics: ROE 80.3%, ROA 11.4%, ROCE 22.0%. Margins are tight (gross 8.3%, operating 4.8%, net 3.2%), but revenue and EPS growth are robust at 7.1% and 176.8%, respectively. Leverage is elevated (debt/equity 4.12), though coverage ratios remain healthy (interest coverage 7.32).
Stock health Momentum is positive with 12-month returns at 50.93%, though it’s down 3.74% from its 52-week high. The RSI(14) at 56.90 suggests neutral technical positioning. Quality (61.8) and growth (71.0) scores are above average, but valuation (51.8) and income (43.6) trail peers.
Price vs fair value The stock trades at a **PREMIUM of 53.90%** versus our fair-value estimate and a **discount of 3.05%** to the 12-month analyst target. - Recent headlines highlight Q2 2026 earnings expectations and cost pressures (Simply Wall St.). - Analysts anticipate earnings growth ahead of the Q2 report (Zacks). - The valuation percentile (51.8) aligns with average quality, suggesting limited upside at current levels.
Looking forward Forward P/E of 22.17 reflects expectations for continued growth, though high margins and leverage warrant caution. Analysts’ 12-month target (630.90) implies modest upside from the current price. Monitor Q2 earnings for updates on cost pressures and margin trends.
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Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.