Vail Resorts, Inc. MTN
Composite 46/100; the shares have moved about 41% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Balance-sheet strength ranks 28/100 — a moderate mark against it.
Income ranks 76/100 — a strong point in its favour. Quality ranks 61/100 — a slight point in its favour. Growth ranks 52/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Balance-sheet strength ranks 28/100 — a moderate mark against it. Valuation ranks 33/100 — a moderate mark against it. Momentum ranks 42/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Vail Resorts operates destination mountain resorts, regional ski areas, luxury lodging under RockResorts, and real estate development in the U.S. and internationally. Its segments include Mountain (ski operations and ancillary activities), Lodging (hotels and condominiums), and Real Estate (property development and sales).
Key financials Vail reports ROE 17%, ROA 5%, and ROCE 9%. Gross and operating margins are 43% and 42%, respectively, but net margin is 6%. Revenue and EPS growth are -7% and -16%. Debt/Equity is 3.56x, with interest coverage at 2.21x and current ratio 0.91.
Stock health Momentum is strong over 3m (27%) and 6m (19%), with RSI(14) at 59. Sideravia scores Quality 55 and Momentum 57, but Valuation 37 and Growth 14. Dividend yield is 6%, though payout ratio is 191%.
Price vs fair value The stock trades at a PREMIUM of 49.10% to our fair-value estimate of 77.83 and a PREMIUM of 2.83% to the analyst 12-month target of 148.50. - Analysts cite strong lodging and real estate momentum as supporting premium pricing (analyst count 12.0). - High dividend yield (6%) may be attracting income-focused investors despite elevated payout risk. - Valuation metrics (P/E 31x, EV/EBITDA 11x) remain rich versus historical averages.
Looking forward Forward P/E improves to 20x, suggesting expectations for margin recovery. However, growth remains weak (-7% revenue) and leverage high (Net debt/EBITDA 3.9x), limiting upside unless operational improvements materialize.
This is not investment advice. Sideravia provides automated, data-driven analysis for information and education only. Nothing on this page is a personal recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell any security, and it does not consider your objectives or financial situation. Assessments are generated by rules applied uniformly to every covered stock — how our scores work.
Data as of 2026-09-04, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.