Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC
Composite 64/100; the shares have moved about 36% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Growth ranks 33/100 — a moderate mark against it.
Momentum ranks 93/100 — a strong point in its favour. Valuation ranks 71/100 — a moderate point in its favour. Quality ranks 65/100 — a moderate point in its favour.
Growth ranks 33/100 — a moderate mark against it. Income ranks 47/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the U.S., refining crude oil and other feedstocks across Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions. Its Refining & Marketing segment produces transportation fuels, asphalt, propane, and petrochemicals, while the Midstream segment transports and stores crude oil and refined products.
Key financials MPC reports strong profitability metrics: ROE 42.1%, ROA 8.7%, and ROCE 21.1%. Margins stand at gross 12.8%, operating 13.6%, and net 5.5%. Revenue and EPS growth are negative at -4.4% and -10.7%, respectively. Leverage metrics include Debt/Equity 1.33 and Net debt/EBITDA 1.72, with interest coverage at 9.12.
Stock health MPC scores 63.1 overall on SideraVIA, with strong momentum (92.2) but weak growth (30.6). Quality (66.2) and valuation (69.7) are average. The stock shows high trailing returns: 3m 45.23%, 6m 76.45%, and 12m 118.41%, though it is -1.26% below its 52-week high. RSI(14) is elevated at 77.60.
Price vs fair value MPC trades at a **PREMIUM of 16.10%** versus the analyst mean target of 324.56. - Refining peers’ earnings strength and analyst optimism lifted MPC 7.9% in a day (MPC earnings news). - U.S. diesel prices surged to a four-year high, boosting refining margins (U.S. diesel price soars). - Analysts highlight reluctance of oil majors to build new U.S. refineries, supporting existing capacity (Why Oil Majors Don’t Want to Build New U.S. Refineries).
Looking forward Forward P/E is 11.32, EV/EBITDA 7.31, and FCF yield 8.5%, suggesting reasonable valuation relative to cash flows. However, growth remains weak, and momentum is stretched. The premium to fair value reflects strong near-term refining tailwinds but limits upside without sustained margin expansion.
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Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.