Mattel, Inc. MAT
Composite 49/100; the shares have moved about 27% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Growth ranks 20/100 — a strong mark against it.
Valuation ranks 76/100 — a strong point in its favour. Balance-sheet strength ranks 56/100 — a slight point in its favour. Quality ranks 54/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Growth ranks 20/100 — a strong mark against it. Momentum ranks 26/100 — a moderate mark against it.
What the company does Mattel designs, manufactures, and markets toys and family entertainment products under brands such as Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, and Disney Princess. Its portfolio spans dolls, vehicles, infant/preschool products, and licensed entertainment properties.
Key financials Mattel’s profitability metrics include ROE 23.6%, ROA 5.4%, and ROCE 13.7%. Gross margin is 48.1%, but operating margin is -9.2% and net margin is 9.3%. Revenue grew 4.3% while EPS declined -18.5%.
Stock health Momentum is weak: -25.26% over 6 months, -12.64% over 12 months, and -32.34% below its 52-week high. The Sideravia score is 50.5 (average quality, attractively valued, weak momentum), with momentum at 28.2.
Price vs fair value The stock trades at a discount to both our fair-value estimate and analyst target. - Price is at a discount of 96.00% versus our fair-value estimate of 29.81. - Price is at a discount of 20.37% versus the analyst 12-month target of 18.31 (analyst count 13). - Analysts expect earnings to decline ahead of Q2 results (Zacks).
Looking forward Forward P/E is 10.94, EV/EBITDA is 6.71, and FCF yield is 7.1%. Analysts see potential earnings pressure in Q2, but valuation remains compelling relative to long-term estimates.
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Data as of 2026-09-03, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.