Lottomatica Group S.p.A. LTMC.MI
Composite 50/100; the shares have moved about 32% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Balance-sheet strength ranks 19/100 — a strong mark against it.
Growth ranks 76/100 — a strong point in its favour. Quality ranks 71/100 — a moderate point in its favour. Income ranks 58/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Balance-sheet strength ranks 19/100 — a strong mark against it. Momentum ranks 33/100 — a moderate mark against it. Valuation ranks 43/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Lottomatica Group S.p.A. operates Italy’s largest integrated gaming network across online (GoldBet.it, Better.it), sports retail franchises (GoldBet, Intralot), and gaming halls with VLTs and AWP machines. Its brands span sports betting, casino, poker, and lottery, leveraging both digital and physical distribution.
Key financials High returns: ROE 54.6%, ROA 8.5%, ROCE 20.0%. Margins strong: gross 37.8%, operating 21.3%, net 9.6%. Revenue grew 4.3% while EPS surged 235.9%. Leverage elevated: debt/equity 9.05, net debt/EBITDA 3.13, interest coverage 2.26.
Stock health Momentum mixed: -3.59% (3m), +17.83% (6m), -0.33% (12m). RSI(14) 35.80 indicates oversold conditions. Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Altman Z 2.23 suggest moderate financial health. Current ratio 0.81 signals liquidity pressure.
Price vs fair value The stock trades at a PREMIUM of 18.10% versus our fair-value estimate and at a discount of 33.91% versus the 12-month target. - Strong online growth highlighted in H1 2026 earnings call (GuruFocus.com) - Forward P/E of 10.50 vs trailing 26.02 signals earnings recovery priced in - Valuation percentile 48.0/100 suggests fair valuation relative to peers - Sideravia overall score 54.3 balances quality (69.8) and strength (30.5)
Looking forward Analysts see 31.83 as a 12-month target, implying 34% upside from current levels. Focus on online segment growth and margin recovery will be key catalysts. Execution on VLTs and retail franchises remains critical given high leverage.
This is not investment advice. Sideravia provides automated, data-driven analysis for information and education only. Nothing on this page is a personal recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell any security, and it does not consider your objectives or financial situation. Assessments are generated by rules applied uniformly to every covered stock — how our scores work.
Data as of 2026-09-04, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.