HelloFresh SE HFG.DE
Composite 37/100; the shares have moved about 47% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Momentum ranks 4/100 — a strong mark against it.
Valuation ranks 81/100 — a strong point in its favour.
Momentum ranks 4/100 — a strong mark against it. Quality ranks 25/100 — a strong mark against it. Growth ranks 26/100 — a moderate mark against it.
What the company does HelloFresh SE (HFG.DE) operates a global meal-kit and ready-to-eat food delivery platform under brands including HelloFresh, EveryPlate and Factor, serving North America, Europe and Australia.
Key financials Gross margin is 61.1% but operating and net margins are negative at –3.5% and –0.4%, respectively. ROE is –3.7%, ROA 4.5% and ROCE 2.7%. Revenue fell 13.2% while EPS rose 55.2% in the latest period.
Stock health The Altman Z-score of 3.10 suggests low bankruptcy risk, but the Piotroski F-score is 6/9 and the current ratio is 0.73, indicating liquidity and efficiency concerns. FCF yield is a high 35.8%, yet momentum ranks in the bottom 10.5 percentile.
Price vs fair value The stock trades at a discount to both fair value and analyst targets. - Fair-value discount: 15.20% (our fair-value estimate 4.24) - Analyst target discount: 49.34% (12-month target 5.50) - Negative operating margin and ROE of –3.7% (key financials) - Momentum percentile 10.5 and 6m return –35.08% (stock health) - EV/EBITDA 1.28 versus forward P/E 13.00 signals deep value but weak fundamentals (valuation)
Looking forward Forward P/E of 13.00 and EV/EBITDA 1.28 imply the market is pricing in a significant earnings rebound, yet growth and profitability metrics remain weak. Analysts’ 5.50 target suggests potential upside only if margin recovery materializes.
This is not investment advice. Sideravia provides automated, data-driven analysis for information and education only. Nothing on this page is a personal recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell any security, and it does not consider your objectives or financial situation. Assessments are generated by rules applied uniformly to every covered stock — how our scores work.
Data as of 2026-09-04, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.