Graphic Packaging Holding Company GPK
Composite 38/100; the shares have moved about 46% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Growth ranks 23/100 — a strong mark against it.
Income ranks 87/100 — a strong point in its favour. Valuation ranks 66/100 — a moderate point in its favour.
Growth ranks 23/100 — a strong mark against it. Balance-sheet strength ranks 25/100 — a strong mark against it. Momentum ranks 30/100 — a moderate mark against it.
What the company does Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) designs, produces, and sells paperboard packaging for food, beverage, foodservice, and consumer products across the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific. It operates two segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging and International Paperboard Packaging, serving CPG brands and quick-service restaurants.
Key financials GPK’s profitability metrics are modest: ROE 8.6%, ROA 3.8%, and net margin 3.2%. Revenue growth is sluggish at 1.7%, while EPS declined -48.0%. Leverage is high with Debt/Equity at 1.78 and Net debt/EBITDA at 4.51, though interest coverage is weak at 2.57.
Stock health Momentum is weak: 12-month return -49.51%, RSI(14) at 52.30, and a -51.69% drawdown from the 52-week high. Sideravia scores reflect low quality (31.6) and weak growth (20.8), but strong income (93.1) and valuation (69.9).
Price vs fair value The stock trades at a **discount** of 5.50% to our fair-value estimate of 11.56 and a **discount** of 7.66% to the analyst 12-month target of 11.80. - Analysts expect earnings declines (Zacks). - Recent peer earnings outperformance (AptarGroup) may pressure sentiment. - Weak momentum scores (24.2) and high leverage limit upside.
Looking forward Forward P/E of 14.22 suggests moderate valuation, but earnings growth remains challenged. Dividend yield is attractive at 4.0%, with a payout ratio of 47.8%. Focus on margin recovery and debt reduction will be critical for valuation rerating.
This is not investment advice. Sideravia provides automated, data-driven analysis for information and education only. Nothing on this page is a personal recommendation or an invitation to buy or sell any security, and it does not consider your objectives or financial situation. Assessments are generated by rules applied uniformly to every covered stock — how our scores work.
Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.