Elastic N.V. ESTC
Composite 53/100; the shares have moved about 60% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Valuation ranks 37/100 — a moderate mark against it.
Growth ranks 80/100 — a strong point in its favour. Momentum ranks 64/100 — a moderate point in its favour. Balance-sheet strength ranks 52/100 — a slight point in its favour.
Valuation ranks 37/100 — a moderate mark against it. Quality ranks 46/100 — a slight mark against it.
What the company does Elastic N.V. (ESTC) provides AI-powered search and analytics platforms, including Elasticsearch, a distributed vector database, and Elastic Security for threat detection. Its products enable real-time data ingestion, search, and visualization across hybrid and multi-cloud environments.
Key financials Revenue grew 16% but operating margin remains negative at -3.5% despite a 76.2% gross margin. ROE is 33.4% but ROA is -0.7%, and net margin is 21.1%. Debt/Equity is 0.46 with interest coverage at 0.80 and current ratio of 1.68.
Stock health Momentum is mixed: +35.55% over 3 months but -27.63% over 12 months, with RSI(14) at 61.20. The stock is -33.12% below its 52-week high. Sidera’s overall score is 47.0, with Quality at 41.4 and Momentum at 36.1.
Price vs fair value ESTC trades at a **discount** of 30.20% to our fair-value estimate of 83.65 and a **discount** of 15.18% to the analyst 12-month target of 74.00. - Recent breakouts above 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages signal short-term momentum (Zacks, StockStory). - Joining the Open Source AI Cybersecurity Alliance may bolster long-term relevance (MT Newswires). - Comparisons to Datadog highlight valuation scrutiny in the AI-ops space (Trefis).
Looking forward Forward P/E is 18.05, with revenue growth expected to continue at 16%. Analysts see potential upside to 74.00, but weak operating profitability and high EV/EBITDA (153.46) remain key risks.
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Data as of 2026-09-05, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.