AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ASTS
Composite 41/100; the shares have moved about 109% annualised. Names that move more contribute more risk for the same amount invested, and our composite reflects how strong the evidence for this one is right now.
Valuation ranks 8/100 — a strong mark against it.
Growth ranks 100/100 — a strong point in its favour. Balance-sheet strength ranks 69/100 — a moderate point in its favour.
Valuation ranks 8/100 — a strong mark against it. Quality ranks 15/100 — a strong mark against it. Momentum ranks 30/100 — a moderate mark against it.
What the company does AST SpaceMobile is building a space-based cellular broadband network using its BlueBird satellites to provide direct-to-smartphone connectivity for underserved regions. The service targets commercial and government users lacking terrestrial coverage.
Key financials Revenue grew 1952.2% YoY, but gross margin is 44.8% while operating and net margins are -1014.0% and 0.0%, respectively. ROE is -37.8%, ROA -6.3%, and ROCE -10.2%. Debt/Equity is 1.12 with net debt/EBITDA at 0.12.
Stock health Momentum is weak: -22.19% (3m), -52.90% (6m), and -57.04% below its 52-week high. RSI(14) is 40.40, suggesting oversold conditions. Sideravia scores it Poor quality (47.0), with Valuation at 59.5 and Momentum at 30.8.
Price vs fair value ASTS trades at a **discount of 39.97%** versus the 12-month target of 80.48. - Analysts cite valuation as ‘now in a grey area’ after a significant decline since January (Stocktwits). - Retail investors argue the stock is ‘way undervalued’ despite recent declines (Stocktwits). - Comparisons to peers like Lockheed Martin and QuantumScape highlight uncertainty in sector positioning (Motley Fool). - Recent sector volatility, including Rocket Lab’s mixed performance, adds to sentiment swings (TheStreet).
Looking forward The company’s success hinges on satellite deployment and regulatory partnerships. Upcoming BlueBird launches and spectrum agreements will be critical catalysts for margin improvement and revenue scaling.
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Data as of 2026-09-03, compiled from third-party sources; errors and delays are possible and figures are not warranted. Investing puts your capital at risk; past performance does not predict future results. We publish our full track record, including the calls that lost, and our conflicts of interest.